We have a unique chance to become Europe’s security outpost and the new industrial heart of the region.

18.09.2025

Ruslan Shostak, President of TERWIN

Our country, as you know, has many possible futures. And one of them could look like this:

Imagine Ukraine with a GDP of $1.5–2 trillion. A population of 45–50 million, thanks to the return of Ukrainians and a well-thought-out migration policy. An industry based not only on agriculture and steel, but also on electronics, automotive manufacturing, biotechnology, and green energy.

This is not a fantasy. It is an entirely possible alternative scenario if Ukraine takes the place that China is gradually losing.

We have a unique opportunity to become Europe’s security outpost and the new industrial heart of the region.

China is losing trust due to political instability, overregulation, and trade wars. Global companies openly say they are looking for new production sites and are significantly reducing their presence there. Ukraine could become exactly such a site: closer to European markets, with strong human capital and access to resources.

What is needed to make this scenario a reality:

• People. Ukraine must bring its citizens back and attract new ones. Without a well-designed migration policy, open to both skilled professionals and workers from abroad, there will be no growth.

• Infrastructure. Logistics, energy, roads, and digital networks are the foundation of an industrial future.

• Rules of the game. A stable tax system, protection of investments, and independent courts.

• Innovation. Education, science, and startups must become a priority.

Yes, this scenario is ambitious. Yes, it requires political will and systemic work. But it is achievable.

In my view, this is a fully realistic future for Ukraine — if we set the goal and move toward it consistently. It includes security, an industrial leap forward, and comprehensive development for our country.